A Saudi-style urban setting with warm stone buildings, civil works and a partly completed block.
Delivery dependencies connect the site, the programme and the funding plan.

What to take into your next appraisal

  • Separate land rights, building permissions and sales permissions.
  • Build the schedule from project evidence rather than a generic duration.
  • Price the consequences of delay without assigning invented probabilities.

Start with the rights needed for the business plan

Identify the landowner, developer, proposed buyer and project vehicle. The rights needed to develop and sell are not interchangeable. Where non-Saudi ownership is relevant, use the REGA framework to identify geographic scope and the rights allowed for the intended party before treating the acquisition as unconditional.

For off-plan sales, add the appropriate REGA licensing workstream. Neither ownership eligibility nor a marketing permission establishes that every other project approval has been obtained.

Sources: Real Estate General Authority: Real Estate General Authority; Real Estate General Authority: Off-Plan Sales and Lease

Connect prerequisites explicitly

Create one record per material permission. Include the authority, required submission, responsible adviser, earliest submission date, dependencies and evidence of issue. Distinguish a target date from an approved date.

The map should show what happens if a prerequisite is missing: land completion may wait, design may be revised, debt may remain undrawn or buyer collections may start later. Ask the project team to validate the map instead of presenting a universal Saudi approval list.

Translate one delay into cash

Assume a fictional project has SAR 10 million of drawn debt and SAR 100,000 of unavoidable monthly holding costs. A three-month approval delay keeps that debt outstanding at a simple annual 8% rate. Additional interest is SAR 200,000 and holding cost is SAR 300,000.

The direct delay cost is SAR 500,000 before escalation or changes to revenue. If debt interest capitalises monthly, calculate it from the actual balance instead; the simple example intentionally excludes compounding and additional draws.

Compare deferral with early commitment

The developer might delay a cancellable procurement package while maintaining design work. Record the cost of retaining a price, extending a land agreement or rescheduling contractors. An early commitment can reduce future escalation while increasing sunk expenditure if approval fails.

Use discrete cases for approval on time, approval with redesign and refusal or withdrawal. Do not assign percentages to those outcomes unless there is a documented basis. The maximum exposure under each case can be useful even without a probability-weighted answer.

Use conditions before expenditure

A practical committee decision identifies which expenditure can proceed now, which needs a permission and the maximum authorised exposure before that permission arrives. The project manager owns the programme; the analyst owns its financial translation.

Update the register when the design, ownership, sales structure or authority response changes. A source checked at acquisition does not remain sufficient after the project materially changes.

Sources and further reading

  1. Real Estate General Authority Real Estate General Authority
  2. Off-Plan Sales and Lease Real Estate General Authority
  3. Valuation of development property RICS

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